Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.364444 0.471677 0.588111 0.722213 0.870852 1.029204 1.209373
2025-10-12 0.226772 0.370735 0.543763 0.758623 1.011301 1.293337 1.626801
2025-10-19 0.171369 0.334348 0.544503 0.817657 1.149545 1.528945 1.985944
2025-10-26 0.127008 0.299613 0.538277 0.861451 1.265019 1.735274 2.309920
2025-11-02 0.085234 0.255382 0.510329 0.870513 1.332461 1.880457 2.558909
2025-11-09 0.042330 0.191682 0.444299 0.821732 1.321935 1.927921 2.689435
2025-11-16 0.014781 0.136317 0.378857 0.765103 1.294879 1.950297 2.785877
2025-11-23 0.003927 0.105037 0.344357 0.746580 1.313254 2.025383 2.942806
2025-11-30 0.000589 0.088992 0.332675 0.759037 1.371105 2.148496 3.156984
2025-12-07 NaN 0.069834 0.310383 0.752720 1.401785 2.236155 3.326986
2025-12-14 NaN 0.049106 0.278248 0.727423 1.404017 2.285981 3.449229
2025-12-21 NaN 0.046297 0.286114 0.766336 1.495708 2.450565 3.713334
2025-12-28 NaN 0.045567 0.300411 0.818624 1.610305 2.649853 4.027183
2026-01-04 NaN 0.041928 0.306577 0.857662 1.707014 2.827304 4.315726
2026-01-11 NaN 0.043460 0.326802 0.920508 1.837633 3.048710 4.658887
2026-01-18 NaN 0.041792 0.337570 0.967094 1.945028 3.240056 4.964831
2026-01-25 NaN 0.033753 0.327456 0.976719 1.998721 3.361008 5.182610
2026-02-01 NaN 0.018309 0.284445 0.924855 1.961025 3.360675 5.247209
2026-02-08 NaN 0.007023 0.239928 0.864535 1.907454 3.336990 5.280447
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002796 0.218457 0.844776 1.912600 3.390054 5.409560
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001480 0.213989 0.858065 1.967728 3.510169 5.624073
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000253 0.200369 0.851328 1.991380 3.587341 5.783414
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.178318 0.824326 1.982245 3.619154 5.883959